Jacob CowingorKeAndre Lambert-Smith?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start KeAndre Lambert-Smith
KeAndre Lambert-Smith outscores Jacob Cowing in 61% of simulations.
Jacob Cowing still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so KeAndre Lambert-Smith is the better bet, not a sure thing. KeAndre Lambert-Smith projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jacob Cowing has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); KeAndre Lambert-Smith faces the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs). KeAndre Lambert-Smith still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 1.0
- Ceiling
- 4.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 96%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 1.7
- Ceiling
- 5.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 92%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacob CowingWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| PPR projection | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| Standard projection | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Rank this week | WR92 | WR85 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| Last season per game | — | 1.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 25% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |