Josiah DeguaraorLuke Schoonmaker?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Luke Schoonmaker
Luke Schoonmaker outscores Josiah Deguara in 59% of simulations.
Josiah Deguara still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Luke Schoonmaker is the better bet, not a sure thing. Luke Schoonmaker projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Luke Schoonmaker faces the Houston Texans (9% fewer than average to TEs), Josiah Deguara faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Luke Schoonmaker wins 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 3.3
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 97%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 1.2
- Ceiling
- 2.8
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josiah DeguaraTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Luke SchoonmakerTE, DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| PPR projection | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Standard projection | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Rank this week | TE68 | TE67 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 1.6 |
| Last season per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 22% |
| Trade value | — | — |