Josiah DeguaraorQuintin Morris?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Josiah Deguara
Josiah Deguara outscores Quintin Morris in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Quintin Morris comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Josiah Deguara, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 1.3 half-PPR points in Week 4. Quintin Morris has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (53% more than average to TEs); Josiah Deguara faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs). Josiah Deguara still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 3.3
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 97%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 3.4
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 96%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josiah DeguaraTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quintin MorrisTE, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| PPR projection | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Standard projection | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Rank this week | TE68 | TE69 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 0.6 |
| Last season per game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 22% |
| Trade value | — | — |