Ladd McConkeyorMichael Pittman?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey outscores Michael Pittman in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Pittman comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Ladd McConkey, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ladd McConkey projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Michael Pittman has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (4% fewer than average to WRs); Ladd McConkey faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Ladd McConkey still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ladd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Michael PittmanWR, PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR36 | WR37 |
| Matchup | at SEA | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 5.0 |
| Last season per game | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 73% |
| Trade value | 3 | — |