Ryan FlournoyorTed Hurst III?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III outscores Ryan Flournoy in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ryan Flournoy comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Ted Hurst III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ryan Flournoy projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Ted Hurst III faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs), Ryan Flournoy faces the Green Bay Packers (3% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Ted Hurst III wins 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR45 |
| Matchup | at GB | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.5 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 6.3 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 40% |
| Trade value | — | — |