AJ BarnerorMason Taylor?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean AJ Barner
AJ Barner outscores Mason Taylor in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mason Taylor comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean AJ Barner, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mason Taylor projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. AJ Barner has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (21% more than average to TEs); Mason Taylor faces the Kansas City Chiefs (3% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (15+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | AJ BarnerTE, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Mason TaylorTE, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.8 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 4.9 |
| Rank this week | TE22 | TE20 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.7 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | 7.1 | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 95% | 61% |
| Trade value | — | — |