AJ BarnerorTeagan Quitoriano?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Teagan Quitoriano
Teagan Quitoriano outscores AJ Barner in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: AJ Barner comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Teagan Quitoriano, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.7 half-PPR points in Week 10. AJ Barner has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (2% more than average to TEs); Teagan Quitoriano faces the Los Angeles Rams (15% fewer than average to TEs). Teagan Quitoriano still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Teagan Quitoriano wins 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 13.7
- Big game (15+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 5):
- 43%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | AJ BarnerTE, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Teagan QuitorianoTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| PPR projection | 8.1 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | TE18 | TE17 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.7 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 7.1 | 0.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 36% |
| Trade value | — | — |