AJ BarnerorBrenton Strange?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Brenton Strange
Brenton Strange outscores AJ Barner in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: AJ Barner comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Brenton Strange, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brenton Strange projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Brenton Strange faces the Tennessee Titans (1% fewer than average to TEs), AJ Barner faces the Las Vegas Raiders (2% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 13.7
- Big game (15+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 5):
- 43%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | AJ BarnerTE, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Brenton StrangeTE, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 7.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.1 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Rank this week | TE18 | TE15 |
| Matchup | at LV | at TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.7 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 7.1 | 7.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | — |