Colby ParkinsonorMichael Mayer?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer outscores Colby Parkinson in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Colby Parkinson comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Michael Mayer, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Colby Parkinson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Colby Parkinson has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (40% more than average to TEs); Michael Mayer faces the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs). Michael Mayer still wins more often despite that. Colby Parkinson is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Colby Parkinson
Floor
0.0
Median
4.5
Ceiling
13.7
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
54%
Michael Mayer
Floor
1.4
Median
5.1
Ceiling
12.5
Big game (15+):
6%
Dud (under 5):
50%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatColby ParkinsonTE, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETMichael MayerTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.26.1
PPR projection7.78.0
Standard projection4.74.3
Rank this weekTE21TE23
Matchupat WASat SF
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game3.97.4
Last season per game7.74.3
Snap share, last game69%79%
Trade value——