Colby ParkinsonorMichael Mayer?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Michael Mayer
Michael Mayer outscores Colby Parkinson in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Colby Parkinson comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Michael Mayer, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Colby Parkinson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Colby Parkinson has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (40% more than average to TEs); Michael Mayer faces the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs). Michael Mayer still wins more often despite that. Colby Parkinson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 13.7
- Big game (15+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 5):
- 54%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Colby ParkinsonTE, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael MayerTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.2 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Rank this week | TE21 | TE23 |
| Matchup | at WAS | at SF |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.9 | 7.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 4.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | — |