Dalton SchultzorMichael Mayer?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Dalton Schultz
Dalton Schultz outscores Michael Mayer in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Mayer comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Dalton Schultz, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Mayer projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Michael Mayer has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs); Dalton Schultz faces the Los Angeles Chargers (25% fewer than average to TEs). Dalton Schultz still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (15+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Michael MayerTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Rank this week | TE24 | TE23 |
| Matchup | at LAC | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 7.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 4.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | — |