Dameon PierceorNicholas Singleton?

Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Dameon Pierce

Dameon Pierce outscores Nicholas Singleton in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Nicholas Singleton comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Dameon Pierce, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dameon Pierce projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Nicholas Singleton has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (13% fewer than average to RBs); Dameon Pierce faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (22% fewer than average to RBs). Dameon Pierce still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dameon Pierce
Floor
0.1
Median
0.5
Ceiling
1.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%
Nicholas Singleton
Floor
0.2
Median
0.4
Ceiling
0.9
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDameon PierceRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ETNicholas SingletonRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.60.5
PPR projection0.60.5
Standard projection0.60.5
Rank this weekRB89RB91
Matchupat JAXvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—0.6
Last season per game0.7—
Snap share, last game—12%
Trade value——