Dameon PierceorRoschon Johnson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Roschon Johnson
Roschon Johnson outscores Dameon Pierce in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Dameon Pierce comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Roschon Johnson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Roschon Johnson projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Roschon Johnson has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs); Dameon Pierce faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (22% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Dameon Pierce is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.5
- Ceiling
- 1.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.5
- Ceiling
- 1.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dameon PierceRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET | Roschon JohnsonRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| PPR projection | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Standard projection | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Rank this week | RB89 | RB88 |
| Matchup | at JAX | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 1.4 |
| Last season per game | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 11% |
| Trade value | — | — |