Elijah MitchellorJeremiyah Love?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Jeremiyah Love

Jeremiyah Love outscores Elijah Mitchell in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Elijah Mitchell comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jeremiyah Love, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jeremiyah Love projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Elijah Mitchell has the better matchup against the New York Giants (7% more than average to RBs); Jeremiyah Love faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs). Jeremiyah Love still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Elijah Mitchell is the pick at 56%; in Standard leagues, Jeremiyah Love wins 65%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Elijah Mitchell
Floor
2.1
Median
5.3
Ceiling
10.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
58%
Jeremiyah Love
Floor
1.7
Median
5.3
Ceiling
12.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
57%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatElijah MitchellRB, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETJeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.96.3
PPR projection8.07.0
Standard projection3.85.6
Rank this weekRB40RB38
Matchupvs NYGat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.38.0
Last season per game0.0—
Snap share, last game57%19%
Trade value——