Devin SingletaryorElijah Mitchell?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Elijah Mitchell
Elijah Mitchell outscores Devin Singletary in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Devin Singletary comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Elijah Mitchell, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Devin Singletary projects 0.8 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Elijah Mitchell faces the New York Giants (7% more than average to RBs), Devin Singletary faces the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Elijah Mitchell wins 58%; in Standard leagues, Devin Singletary is the pick at 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devin SingletaryRB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Elijah MitchellRB, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 5.9 |
| PPR projection | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| Rank this week | RB37 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.9 | 0.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 29% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | — |