Chris Rodriguez Jr.orElijah Mitchell?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Elijah Mitchell in 55% of simulations.
Elijah Mitchell still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Elijah Mitchell has the better matchup against the New York Giants (7% more than average to RBs); Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Baltimore Ravens (5% fewer than average to RBs). Chris Rodriguez Jr. still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Elijah Mitchell is the pick at 56%; in Standard leagues, Chris Rodriguez Jr. wins 73%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET | Elijah MitchellRB, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.8 | 5.9 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 3.8 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.0 | 5.3 |
| Last season per game | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 22% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | — |