Evan HullorTrevor Etienne?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Evan Hull
Evan Hull outscores Trevor Etienne in 57% of simulations.
Trevor Etienne still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Evan Hull is the better bet, not a sure thing. Trevor Etienne projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Trevor Etienne has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (13% more than average to RBs); Evan Hull faces the Los Angeles Rams (13% fewer than average to RBs). Evan Hull still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Evan Hull wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 1.4
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 0.5
- Ceiling
- 2.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Evan HullRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Trevor EtienneRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| PPR projection | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Standard projection | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Rank this week | RB71 | RB70 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| Last season per game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 4% | 11% |
| Trade value | — | — |