Geno SmithorTanner McKee?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Geno Smith
Geno Smith outscores Tanner McKee in 92% of simulations.
Tanner McKee comes out ahead in the other 8%. Geno Smith projects 8.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Geno Smith faces the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to QBs), Tanner McKee faces the Carolina Panthers (6% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 20.5
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 58%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 7.0
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- 98%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Geno SmithQB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tanner McKeeQB, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.8 | 3.3 |
| PPR projection | 11.8 | 3.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.8 | 3.3 |
| Rank this week | QB21 | QB22 |
| Matchup | at NE | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.9 | — |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 3.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |