Bo NixorGeno Smith?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Geno Smith
Bo Nix is not projected to play (bye week). Geno Smith faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
Bo Nix
Not projected to play (bye week).
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 52%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bo NixQB, DEN | Geno SmithQB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | Bye week | 12.9 |
| PPR projection | Bye week | 12.9 |
| Standard projection | Bye week | 12.9 |
| Rank this week | Not ranked | QB19 |
| Matchup | Bye | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |