Daniel JonesorMalik Willis?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Daniel Jones
Daniel Jones outscores Malik Willis in 62% of simulations.
Malik Willis still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Daniel Jones is the better bet, not a sure thing. Daniel Jones projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Daniel Jones faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to QBs), Malik Willis faces the Cincinnati Bengals (7% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 13.0
- Ceiling
- 21.1
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 42%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 10.3
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 59%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Daniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Malik WillisQB, MIA, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.8 | 11.8 |
| PPR projection | 13.8 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 13.8 | 11.8 |
| Rank this week | QB19 | QB23 |
| Matchup | at PIT | vs CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.1 | 10.4 |
| Last season per game | 17.4 | 12.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |