Bo NixorDaniel Jones?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Bo Nix
Bo Nix outscores Daniel Jones in 57% of simulations.
Daniel Jones still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Bo Nix is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bo Nix projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (33% more than average to QBs); Bo Nix faces the Carolina Panthers (7% fewer than average to QBs). Bo Nix still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 14.5
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (25+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 12):
- 36%
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bo NixQB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Daniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.6 | 13.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 13.7 |
| Standard projection | 15.6 | 13.7 |
| Rank this week | QB13 | QB17 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.4 | 8.9 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 17.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | — |