Bryce YoungorDaniel Jones?

Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Lean Bryce Young

Bryce Young outscores Daniel Jones in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Daniel Jones comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Bryce Young, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bryce Young projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (33% more than average to QBs); Bryce Young faces the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to QBs). Bryce Young still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bryce Young
Floor
6.1
Median
13.1
Ceiling
24.4
Big game (25+):
9%
Dud (under 12):
43%
Daniel Jones
Floor
7.2
Median
12.9
Ceiling
21.0
Big game (25+):
4%
Dud (under 12):
43%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETDaniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection14.413.7
PPR projection14.413.7
Standard projection14.413.7
Rank this weekQB17QB20
Matchupvs DENvs DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.08.9
Last season per game13.617.4
Snap share, last game100%79%
Trade value——