Bo NixorBryce Young?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Bo Nix
Bo Nix outscores Bryce Young in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bryce Young comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Bo Nix, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bryce Young projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Bo Nix faces the Kansas City Chiefs (16% fewer than average to QBs), Bryce Young faces the Green Bay Packers (15% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.4
- Median
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Big game (25+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bo NixQB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.2 | 14.5 |
| PPR projection | 14.2 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 14.2 | 14.5 |
| Rank this week | QB19 | QB18 |
| Matchup | vs KC | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.7 | 19.3 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 13.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | — |