Bryce YoungorMichael Penix Jr.?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Michael Penix Jr.
Michael Penix Jr. outscores Bryce Young in 56% of simulations.
Bryce Young still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Michael Penix Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Michael Penix Jr. projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Michael Penix Jr. has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2% more than average to QBs); Bryce Young faces the Green Bay Packers (15% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 42%
- Floor
- 8.0
- Median
- 14.7
- Ceiling
- 24.7
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET | Michael Penix Jr.QB, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.5 | 15.7 |
| PPR projection | 14.5 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 14.5 | 15.7 |
| Rank this week | QB18 | QB14 |
| Matchup | at GB | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.3 | 16.9 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 13.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |