Deshaun WatsonorSam Darnold?
Week 7 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson outscores Sam Darnold in 61% of simulations.
Sam Darnold still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Deshaun Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Deshaun Watson projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Deshaun Watson has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (5% more than average to QBs); Sam Darnold faces the Kansas City Chiefs (16% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.2
- Median
- 13.7
- Ceiling
- 21.4
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 37%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 21.4
- Big game (25+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 12):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam DarnoldQB, SEA, Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 12.6 |
| Standard projection | 14.4 | 12.6 |
| Rank this week | QB18 | QB22 |
| Matchup | at TEN | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 12.2 |
| Last season per game | — | 13.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |