Jameis WinstonorSam Darnold?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Jameis Winston
Jameis Winston outscores Sam Darnold in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Sam Darnold comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jameis Winston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jameis Winston projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Jameis Winston faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to QBs), Sam Darnold faces the Denver Broncos (10% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 47%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.2
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jameis WinstonQB, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam DarnoldQB, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 13.5 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 13.5 |
| Standard projection | 14.0 | 13.5 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB20 |
| Matchup | vs NO | at DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.1 | 12.4 |
| Last season per game | 14.3 | 13.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |