Kirk CousinsorSam Darnold?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Sam Darnold
Sam Darnold outscores Kirk Cousins in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kirk Cousins comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Sam Darnold, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Sam Darnold projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Sam Darnold has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (12% more than average to QBs); Kirk Cousins faces the Green Bay Packers (13% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 39%
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 14.0
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (25+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 12):
- 38%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kirk CousinsQB, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam DarnoldQB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.7 | 15.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 15.4 |
| Standard projection | 14.7 | 15.4 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB14 |
| Matchup | at GB | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.1 | 13.2 |
| Last season per game | 10.4 | 13.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |