Kirk CousinsorTyler Shough?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Kirk Cousins in 57% of simulations.
Kirk Cousins still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Tyler Shough is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Shough projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Kirk Cousins has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (12% fewer than average to QBs); Tyler Shough faces the Minnesota Vikings (33% fewer than average to QBs). Tyler Shough still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 46%
- Floor
- 7.7
- Median
- 14.0
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.7 | 14.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.7 | 14.7 |
| Standard projection | 13.7 | 14.7 |
| Rank this week | QB23 | QB19 |
| Matchup | at NE | vs MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.7 | 21.3 |
| Last season per game | 10.4 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |