Deshaun WatsonorTyler Shough?

Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Lean Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough outscores Deshaun Watson in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Deshaun Watson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tyler Shough, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Shough projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Deshaun Watson has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (6% fewer than average to QBs); Tyler Shough faces the Cleveland Browns (18% fewer than average to QBs). Tyler Shough still wins more often despite that. Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Deshaun Watson
Floor
0.0
Median
12.4
Ceiling
19.8
Big game (25+):
2%
Dud (under 12):
47%
Tyler Shough
Floor
6.3
Median
13.1
Ceiling
23.7
Big game (25+):
8%
Dud (under 12):
43%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDeshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETTyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.314.2
PPR projection12.314.2
Standard projection12.314.2
Rank this weekQB22QB16
Matchupat NOvs CLE
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game14.818.0
Last season per game—14.4
Snap share, last game94%100%
Trade value——