Deshaun WatsonorJustin Herbert?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson outscores Justin Herbert in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Justin Herbert comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Deshaun Watson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Justin Herbert projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Deshaun Watson faces the New Orleans Saints (6% fewer than average to QBs), Justin Herbert faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 19.8
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 47%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 19.4
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 52%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin HerbertQB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| Rank this week | QB22 | QB21 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs HOU |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 10.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 17.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |