Deshaun WatsonorJ.J. McCarthy?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson outscores J.J. McCarthy in 57% of simulations.
J.J. McCarthy still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Deshaun Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Deshaun Watson projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Deshaun Watson faces the New Orleans Saints (6% fewer than average to QBs), J.J. McCarthy faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.0
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 41%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | J.J. McCarthyQB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 12.8 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 12.8 |
| Rank this week | QB21 | QB23 |
| Matchup | at NO | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 8.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 12.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 92% |
| Trade value | — | — |