Kyler MurrayorLamar Jackson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson outscores Kyler Murray in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyler Murray comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Lamar Jackson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Lamar Jackson projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Kyler Murray has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); Lamar Jackson faces the Buffalo Bills (1% more than average to QBs). Lamar Jackson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.9
- Median
- 16.5
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Big game (25+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 12):
- 16%
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 16.6
- Ceiling
- 28.3
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyler MurrayQB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Lamar JacksonQB, BAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.0 | 18.0 |
| PPR projection | 17.0 | 18.0 |
| Standard projection | 17.0 | 18.0 |
| Rank this week | QB10 | QB8 |
| Matchup | at DET | at BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.7 | 19.8 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 16.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 52% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |