Jacoby BrissettorMatthew Stafford?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford outscores Jacoby Brissett in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jacoby Brissett comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Matthew Stafford, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 17.9 half-PPR points in Week 5. Jacoby Brissett has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); Matthew Stafford faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to QBs). Matthew Stafford still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.5
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 16.9
- Ceiling
- 27.1
- Big game (25+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 12):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Matthew StaffordQB, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.9 | 17.9 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 17.9 |
| Standard projection | 17.9 | 17.9 |
| Rank this week | QB8 | QB7 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 16.2 | 20.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 9 |