Jayden DanielsorJordan Love?

Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Lean Jordan Love

Jordan Love outscores Jayden Daniels in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jayden Daniels comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jordan Love, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 17.2 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Jordan Love faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% more than average to QBs), Jayden Daniels faces the Indianapolis Colts (10% more than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jayden Daniels
Floor
9.5
Median
16.3
Ceiling
25.9
Big game (25+):
12%
Dud (under 12):
23%
Jordan Love
Floor
8.8
Median
16.4
Ceiling
27.5
Big game (25+):
15%
Dud (under 12):
25%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ETJordan LoveQB, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection17.217.2
PPR projection17.217.2
Standard projection17.217.2
Rank this weekQB16QB15
Matchupvs INDat TB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game16.217.3
Last season per game16.315.7
Snap share, last game55%100%
Trade value——