Aaron RodgersorJayden Daniels?
Week 5 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels outscores Aaron Rodgers in 55% of simulations.
Aaron Rodgers still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jayden Daniels is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jayden Daniels projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Jayden Daniels faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to QBs), Aaron Rodgers faces the Indianapolis Colts (10% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Big game (25+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 12):
- 32%
- Floor
- 9.3
- Median
- 15.9
- Ceiling
- 25.2
- Big game (25+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 12):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron RodgersQB, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.0 | 16.8 |
| PPR projection | 16.0 | 16.8 |
| Standard projection | 16.0 | 16.8 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB14 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.3 | 16.2 |
| Last season per game | 14.2 | 16.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 55% |
| Trade value | — | — |