Bryce YoungorCaleb Williams?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams outscores Bryce Young in 66% of simulations.
Bryce Young still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Caleb Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Caleb Williams projects 3.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Caleb Williams faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5% fewer than average to QBs), Bryce Young faces the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 8.9
- Median
- 17.1
- Ceiling
- 29.0
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Caleb WilliamsQB, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 18.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 18.1 |
| Standard projection | 14.4 | 18.1 |
| Rank this week | QB15 | QB8 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.0 | 19.5 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 18.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 9 |