Bryce YoungorC.J. Stroud?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean C.J. Stroud
C.J. Stroud outscores Bryce Young in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bryce Young comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean C.J. Stroud, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. C.J. Stroud projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Bryce Young has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to QBs); C.J. Stroud faces the Los Angeles Chargers (21% fewer than average to QBs). C.J. Stroud still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 14.4
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Big game (25+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 12):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 15.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 15.1 |
| Standard projection | 14.4 | 15.1 |
| Rank this week | QB15 | QB14 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.0 | 18.4 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |