Dak PrescottorDeshaun Watson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores Deshaun Watson in 73% of simulations.
Deshaun Watson still comes out ahead in the other 27%, so Dak Prescott is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dak Prescott projects 6.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Dak Prescott faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to QBs), Deshaun Watson faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 28.2
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 19%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 18.3 | 12.2 |
| PPR projection | 18.3 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 18.3 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | QB9 | QB22 |
| Matchup | vs SF | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 18.6 | 14.8 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 94% |
| Trade value | 13 | — |