Dak PrescottorJayden Daniels?

Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Lean Jayden Daniels

Jayden Daniels outscores Dak Prescott in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Dak Prescott comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jayden Daniels, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jayden Daniels projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jayden Daniels has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (5% fewer than average to QBs); Dak Prescott faces the Green Bay Packers (15% fewer than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dak Prescott
Floor
8.7
Median
15.9
Ceiling
26.2
Big game (25+):
13%
Dud (under 12):
26%
Jayden Daniels
Floor
9.6
Median
16.9
Ceiling
27.3
Big game (25+):
15%
Dud (under 12):
21%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ETJayden DanielsQB, WAS, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection16.717.9
PPR projection16.717.9
Standard projection16.717.9
Rank this weekQB8QB5
Matchupat GBat SF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.821.6
Last season per game18.516.3
Snap share, last game100%100%
Trade value810