Jayden DanielsorJosh Allen?

Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Josh Allen

Josh Allen outscores Jayden Daniels in 68% of simulations.

Jayden Daniels still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Josh Allen is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Allen projects 6.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Josh Allen faces the Baltimore Ravens (5% more than average to QBs), Jayden Daniels faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% fewer than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jayden Daniels
Floor
10.3
Median
17.7
Ceiling
28.2
Big game (25+):
18%
Dud (under 12):
17%
Josh Allen
Floor
12.6
Median
23.3
Ceiling
38.8
Big game (25+):
43%
Dud (under 12):
8%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ETJosh AllenQB, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection18.725.0
PPR projection18.725.0
Standard projection18.724.9
Rank this weekQB5QB1
Matchupvs PHIvs BAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game21.426.8
Last season per game16.322.8
Snap share, last game100%100%
Trade value1253