Brock PurdyorJosh Allen?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Brock Purdy
Brock Purdy outscores Josh Allen in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Josh Allen comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Brock Purdy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Josh Allen projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Brock Purdy has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to QBs); Josh Allen faces the Minnesota Vikings (41% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.3
- Median
- 19.3
- Ceiling
- 32.4
- Big game (25+):
- 28%
- Dud (under 12):
- 16%
- Floor
- 10.7
- Median
- 19.4
- Ceiling
- 31.9
- Big game (25+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 12):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock PurdyQB, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Josh AllenQB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.5 | 20.8 |
| PPR projection | 20.5 | 20.8 |
| Standard projection | 20.5 | 20.8 |
| Rank this week | QB2 | QB1 |
| Matchup | vs LV | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.9 | 26.8 |
| Last season per game | 19.7 | 22.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 95% |
| Trade value | 17 | 56 |