Bryce YoungorJosh Allen?

Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Josh Allen

Josh Allen outscores Bryce Young in 77% of simulations.

Bryce Young comes out ahead in the other 23%. Josh Allen projects 9.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Josh Allen has the better matchup against the New York Jets (15% more than average to QBs); Bryce Young faces the New Orleans Saints (3% fewer than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bryce Young
Floor
6.7
Median
14.0
Ceiling
25.6
Big game (25+):
11%
Dud (under 12):
38%
Josh Allen
Floor
12.5
Median
23.2
Ceiling
38.7
Big game (25+):
42%
Dud (under 12):
9%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETJosh AllenQB, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection15.324.9
PPR projection15.324.9
Standard projection15.324.9
Rank this weekQB14QB1
Matchupat NOat NYJ
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.325.0
Last season per game13.622.8
Snap share, last game100%96%
Trade value—53