Bryce YoungorTyler Shough?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Bryce Young in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bryce Young comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Tyler Shough, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bryce Young projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Bryce Young has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to QBs); Tyler Shough faces the Cleveland Browns (18% fewer than average to QBs). Tyler Shough still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Big game (25+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 14.2 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 14.2 |
| Standard projection | 14.4 | 14.2 |
| Rank this week | QB15 | QB16 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.0 | 18.0 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |