Jared GofforMatthew Stafford?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford outscores Jared Goff in 60% of simulations.
Jared Goff still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Matthew Stafford is the better bet, not a sure thing. Matthew Stafford projects 2.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Matthew Stafford has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (16% more than average to QBs); Jared Goff faces the New England Patriots (2% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.4
- Median
- 15.7
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 28%
- Floor
- 10.2
- Median
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 28.8
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jared GoffQB, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Matthew StaffordQB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.6 | 18.8 |
| PPR projection | 16.6 | 18.8 |
| Standard projection | 16.6 | 18.8 |
| Rank this week | QB12 | QB7 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.4 | 15.9 |
| Last season per game | 17.5 | 20.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |