C.J. StroudorJared Goff?
Week 7 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean C.J. Stroud
C.J. Stroud outscores Jared Goff in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jared Goff comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean C.J. Stroud, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. C.J. Stroud projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. C.J. Stroud has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to QBs); Jared Goff faces the Green Bay Packers (16% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.7
- Median
- 18.2
- Ceiling
- 28.7
- Big game (25+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 12):
- 16%
- Floor
- 10.1
- Median
- 17.7
- Ceiling
- 27.9
- Big game (25+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 12):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jared GoffQB, DET, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 19.1 | 18.6 |
| PPR projection | 19.1 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 19.1 | 18.6 |
| Rank this week | QB4 | QB6 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.7 | 23.0 |
| Last season per game | 14.9 | 17.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 95% |
| Trade value | — | 20 |