C.J. StroudorDak Prescott?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores C.J. Stroud in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: C.J. Stroud comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Dak Prescott, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dak Prescott projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Dak Prescott has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to QBs); C.J. Stroud faces the Cleveland Browns (16% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 16.4
- Ceiling
- 26.8
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 23%
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 28.2
- Big game (25+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 12):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | C.J. StroudQB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.6 | 18.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 18.3 |
| Standard projection | 17.6 | 18.3 |
| Rank this week | QB10 | QB9 |
| Matchup | at CLE | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.5 | 18.6 |
| Last season per game | 14.9 | 18.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 100% |
| Trade value | 22 | 13 |