Dak PrescottorMatthew Stafford?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford outscores Dak Prescott in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Dak Prescott comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Matthew Stafford, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Matthew Stafford projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Matthew Stafford has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (21% more than average to QBs); Dak Prescott faces the Indianapolis Colts (6% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.0
- Median
- 18.2
- Ceiling
- 29.8
- Big game (25+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 12):
- 18%
- Floor
- 10.9
- Median
- 19.1
- Ceiling
- 30.6
- Big game (25+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 12):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew StaffordQB, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 19.1 | 20.0 |
| PPR projection | 19.1 | 20.0 |
| Standard projection | 19.1 | 20.0 |
| Rank this week | QB7 | QB5 |
| Matchup | at IND | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 16.5 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | 20.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 8 | 3 |