Dak PrescottorDrake Maye?
Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Drake Maye
Drake Maye outscores Dak Prescott in 60% of simulations.
Dak Prescott still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Drake Maye is the better bet, not a sure thing. Drake Maye projects 3.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Drake Maye faces the Miami Dolphins (14% more than average to QBs), Dak Prescott faces the Arizona Cardinals (17% more than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.5
- Median
- 19.1
- Ceiling
- 31.5
- Big game (25+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 12):
- 16%
- Floor
- 12.4
- Median
- 22.3
- Ceiling
- 36.4
- Big game (25+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 12):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Drake MayeQB, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.1 | 23.5 |
| PPR projection | 20.1 | 23.5 |
| Standard projection | 20.1 | 23.5 |
| Rank this week | QB5 | QB2 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.3 | 19.8 |
| Last season per game | 18.5 | 20.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 6 | 32 |