Drake MayeorJayden Daniels?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Drake Maye
Drake Maye outscores Jayden Daniels in 59% of simulations.
Jayden Daniels still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Drake Maye is the better bet, not a sure thing. Drake Maye projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jayden Daniels has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to QBs); Drake Maye faces the Green Bay Packers (15% fewer than average to QBs). Drake Maye still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 10.5
- Median
- 18.7
- Ceiling
- 30.4
- Big game (25+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 12):
- 16%
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Big game (25+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 12):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Drake MayeQB, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jayden DanielsQB, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 19.7 | 17.7 |
| PPR projection | 19.7 | 17.7 |
| Standard projection | 19.7 | 17.7 |
| Rank this week | QB6 | QB9 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.1 | 20.1 |
| Last season per game | 20.7 | 16.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | 31 | 8 |