Jordan LoveorMatthew Stafford?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford outscores Jordan Love in 57% of simulations.
Jordan Love still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Matthew Stafford is the better bet, not a sure thing. Matthew Stafford projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Matthew Stafford has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (16% more than average to QBs); Jordan Love faces the Minnesota Vikings (41% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.0
- Median
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 26.5
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 25%
- Floor
- 10.2
- Median
- 17.8
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (25+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 12):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan LoveQB, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew StaffordQB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.9 | 18.8 |
| PPR projection | 16.9 | 18.8 |
| Standard projection | 16.9 | 18.8 |
| Rank this week | QB10 | QB6 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.6 | 15.9 |
| Last season per game | 15.7 | 20.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 100% |
| Trade value | 23 | 3 |