Bryce YoungorJoe Burrow?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow outscores Bryce Young in 74% of simulations.
Bryce Young still comes out ahead in the other 26%, so Joe Burrow is the better bet, not a sure thing. These are their next games: Bryce Young in Week 9, Joe Burrow in Week 10. Joe Burrow projects 7.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Joe Burrow faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (6% fewer than average to QBs), Bryce Young faces the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 43%
- Floor
- 11.3
- Median
- 20.7
- Ceiling
- 33.4
- Big game (25+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 12):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bryce YoungQB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Joe BurrowQB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 22.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 22.0 |
| Standard projection | 14.4 | 22.0 |
| Rank this week | QB15 | Not ranked |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.0 | 24.2 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 16.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 38 |